GGOALVIO

Scotland · League Cup · 7/15/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

East Fife · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

East Fife are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Queen's Park are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Queen's Park hold a 4.8-point power-rating edge (68.0 v 72.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.9% in the League Cup, while East Fife holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

East Fife

Probability

35.9%

Model confidence

35.9%

East Fife has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

East FifeLLWLW

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Queen's ParkLW

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
East FifeQueen's Park
58.3Attack75.0
75.0Defence66.7
66.7Form75.0
68.0Power72.8
1.52xG1.43
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