Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Peterhead · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
East Fife are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Peterhead are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Peterhead hold an 11.2-point power-rating edge (47.4 v 58.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.4% in the League Two, while Peterhead holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Peterhead
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
41.4%
Peterhead has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20