League CupLeague Cup
Tuesday, 14 July 2026Last updated 10:12
East Fife

East Fife

Home
WD
20
Full time
Morton

Morton

Away
L
MGM Timber Bayview Stadium
GoalVio prediction
69% confidence
East Fife(69%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction correct— Result: East Fife
Win probability
East Fife
69%
Draw
19%
Morton
12%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
East Fife
54
Morton
9
Defence
East Fife
82
Morton
27
Momentum
East Fife
67
Morton
0
Danger (xG)
East Fife
1.35
Morton
0.00
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (East Fife)
1.35
avg per match
xG for (Morton)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (East Fife)
0.45
avg per match
xG against (Morton)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
East FifeEast Fife
WD
MortonMorton
L

Probability breakdown

69% confidence
East Fife69%
Draw19%
Morton12%

East Fife leads with 69% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

East Fife head into this in League Cup fixture at MGM Timber Bayview Stadium in mixed form (WD), while Morton arrive in mixed form (L). East Fife have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Morton over 1 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. East Fife's decent attack (54/100) faces a vulnerable Morton defence (27/100), while Morton's attack is up against a watertight East Fife backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in East Fife's favour.

East Fife have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game at home. Morton have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 0.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

East Fife have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 2.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects East Fife to win with 69% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: East Fife 6857%, Draw 1932%, Morton 1211%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

East Fife 1Draws 00 Morton
Avg goals: 2.0
14 Jul 2026
East Fife
W20
Morton

Recent form

East Fife

East Fife

W
vs Morton
14 Jul 2026
20
D
@ Inverness CT
11 Jul 2026
11
Morton

Morton

L
@ East Fife
14 Jul 2026
02

Frequently asked questions

Who will win East Fife vs Morton?

GoalVio's model predicts East Fife to win with 69% confidence.

What is the predicted score for East Fife vs Morton?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in East Fife vs Morton?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in East Fife vs Morton?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more