Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
East Fife · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
East Fife 1-2 Montrose
Original prediction
East Fife
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.35 | 38.8% | 40.9% | 2.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.06 | 29.8% | 28.3% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.92 | 31.3% | 30.7% | -0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
East Fife
Probability
40.9%
Model confidence
40.9%
East Fife has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
East FifeWDWDD
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
MontroseWWWWW
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
East FifeMontrose
28.6Attack52.4
76.2Defence42.9
38.1Form57.1
49.8Power51.1
1.20xG0.96