East Fifevs
East Kilbride
COMPLETEDScotland · League One · 10/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
East Kilbride · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
East Fife 0-3 East Kilbride
Original prediction
East Kilbride
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:59 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.15 | 29.1% | 33.6% | 4.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 25.9% | 27.9% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 2.04 | 44.9% | 38.5% | -6.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.04 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.0–112%
Predicted outcome
East Kilbride
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
East Kilbride has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 14 · GA 10 · avg 2.80/2.00