East Fifevs
Alloa Athletic
COMPLETEDScotland · League One · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: East Fife 0-0 Alloa Athletic, with an exact score probability of 27%.
Prediction record
Final result
East Fife 0-3 Alloa Athletic
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.22 | 41.2% | 38.8% | -2.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 28.5% | 33.1% | 4.6 pts |
| Away | 3.02 | 30.3% | 28.1% | -2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.6 pts
Projected Score
East Fife 0–0 Alloa Athletic
Exact score probability: 27%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.1%
Model confidence
38.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
East FifeLDLLL
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Alloa AthleticDLLDW
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
East FifeAlloa Athletic
26.7Attack30.0
63.3Defence56.7
30.0Form30.0
42.1Power40.1
0.76xG0.60