GGOALVIO

East Bengal logoEast BengalvsParo logoParo

COMPLETED

World · AFC Challenge League · 10/26/2024, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

East Bengal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

East Bengal are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Paro are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 4.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Paro hold a 33.7-point power-rating edge (55.0 v 88.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.0% in the AFC Challenge League, while East Bengal holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

East Bengal

Probability

37.0%

Model confidence

37.0%

East Bengal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

East BengalLWWDW

GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
ParoDWWWW

GF 23 · GA 7 · avg 4.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
East BengalParo
66.7Attack66.7
53.3Defence100.0
46.7Form100.0
55.0Power88.7
1.58xG1.49
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