East Bengalvs
Al Nejmeh
COMPLETEDWorld · AFC Challenge League · 11/1/2024, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
East Bengal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
East Bengal are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Al Nejmeh are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Al Nejmeh hold a 7.6-point power-rating edge (55.0 v 62.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.5% in the AFC Challenge League, while East Bengal holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
East Bengal
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
42.5%
East Bengal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 5 · avg 3.20/1.00
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20