East Bengal IIvs
Minerva Punjab
COMPLETEDIndia · IFA Shield · 9/30/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Minerva Punjab · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 2-1 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
East Bengal II 0-1 Minerva Punjab
Original prediction
Minerva Punjab
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 23 September 2026 at 00:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.89 | 23.2% | 35.9% | 12.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.80 | 23.8% | 24.8% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 1.71 | 53.0% | 39.3% | -13.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.71 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.2–17%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Minerva Punjab
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Minerva Punjab has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 4 · avg 3.20/0.80
GF 16 · GA 13 · avg 3.20/2.60