GGOALVIO

World · AFC Champions League Two · 10/13/2026, 1:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

East Bengal II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

East Bengal II 2-3 Al Shorta

Original prediction

East Bengal II

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.9131.0%37.5%6.5 pts
Draw3.3227.2%27.4%0.2 pts
Away2.1641.8%35.1%-6.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

6.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–112%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.1–28%

Predicted outcome

East Bengal II

Probability

37.5%

Model confidence

37.5%

East Bengal II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

East Bengal IILWLWD

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Al ShortaDWWDW

GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
East Bengal IIAl Shorta
100.0Attack33.3
50.0Defence100.0
66.7Form100.0
71.2Power80.3
1.65xG1.37
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