Dynamovs
Spartak Moscow
COMPLETEDRussia · Premier League · 9/6/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spartak Moscow · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dynamo 2-1 Spartak Moscow
Original prediction
Spartak Moscow
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.81 | 33.6% | 30.2% | -3.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 27.8% | 27.9% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.44 | 38.6% | 41.8% | 3.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Spartak Moscow
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
Spartak Moscow has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80