Dynamovs
FC Orenburg
COMPLETEDRussia · Premier League · 9/12/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dynamo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dynamo 1-0 FC Orenburg
Original prediction
Dynamo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.50 | 63.2% | 45.4% | -17.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.48 | 21.1% | 26.7% | 5.5 pts |
| Away | 6.03 | 15.7% | 28.0% | 12.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.50 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Dynamo
Probability
45.4%
Model confidence
45.4%
Dynamo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DynamoWWWWL
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
FC OrenburgDDDDW
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
DynamoFC Orenburg
16.7Attack33.3
66.7Defence44.4
16.7Form44.4
36.5Power43.8
1.33xG1.08