GGOALVIO

Russia · Premier League · 7/21/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Krasnodar · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Dynamo are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while FC Krasnodar are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Krasnodar hold a 50.0-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 86.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.7% in the Premier League, while FC Krasnodar holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Krasnodar

Probability

41.7%

Model confidence

41.7%

FC Krasnodar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DynamoWWWWL

GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FC KrasnodarDWDWL

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
DynamoFC Krasnodar
16.7Attack100.0
66.7Defence50.0
16.7Form100.0
36.5Power86.5
1.15xG1.50
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