Dynamo KyivvsRīgas FS

Dynamo Kyiv are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Rīgas FS are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Rīgas FS hold a 13.3-point power-rating edge (33.8 v 47.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.2% in the UEFA Europa League, while Rīgas FS holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.