Dynamo Kyivvs
Karpaty
COMPLETEDUkraine · Premier League · 10/11/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Karpaty · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 0-1 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dynamo Kyiv 1-0 Karpaty
Original prediction
Karpaty
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.81 | 50.6% | 35.1% | -15.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.56 | 25.7% | 27.8% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 3.86 | 23.7% | 37.0% | 13.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.0–113%
Predicted outcome
Karpaty
Probability
37.0%
Model confidence
37.0%
Karpaty has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40