GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 11/7/2024, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ferencvarosi TC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Dynamo Kyiv are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Ferencvarosi TC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ferencvarosi TC hold a 38.7-point power-rating edge (33.8 v 72.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.5% in the UEFA Europa League, while Ferencvarosi TC holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ferencvarosi TC

Probability

51.5%

Model confidence

51.5%

Ferencvarosi TC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dynamo KyivWWDLW

GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Ferencvarosi TCDDWWL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Dynamo KyivFerencvarosi TC
16.7Attack61.1
58.3Defence72.2
16.7Form77.8
33.8Power72.4
0.83xG1.59
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