GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Premier League · 9/14/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dynamo Kyiv · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Dynamo Kyiv 3-0 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

Original prediction

Dynamo Kyiv

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.5260.5%42.8%-17.7 pts
Draw4.1322.3%27.1%4.8 pts
Away5.3517.2%30.1%12.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.52 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-17.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.0–09%
  3. 3.1–09%

Predicted outcome

Dynamo Kyiv

Probability

42.8%

Model confidence

42.8%

Dynamo Kyiv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dynamo KyivWDLWL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Epitsentr DunayivtsiWDWWD

GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 1.60/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Dynamo KyivEpitsentr Dunayivtsi
0.0Attack33.3
0.0Defence33.3
0.0Form16.7
7.0Power31.3
1.30xG1.21
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