Dynamo Dresdenvs
VfL Bochum
COMPLETEDGermany · 2. Bundesliga · 9/5/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dynamo Dresden · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dynamo Dresden 1-2 VfL Bochum
Original prediction
Dynamo Dresden
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.13 | 43.9% | 36.8% | -7.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 26.4% | 26.7% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 3.14 | 29.7% | 36.5% | 6.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Dynamo Dresden
Probability
36.8%
Model confidence
36.8%
Dynamo Dresden has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60