Dynamo Dresdenvs
Hertha BSC
COMPLETEDGermany · 2. Bundesliga · 9/19/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hertha BSC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-3 (9%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dynamo Dresden 1-2 Hertha BSC
Original prediction
Hertha BSC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.55 | 36.4% | 23.9% | -12.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.78 | 24.6% | 21.0% | -3.6 pts |
| Away | 2.38 | 39.0% | 55.1% | 16.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.38 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
16.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–39%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
Hertha BSC
Probability
55.1%
Model confidence
55.1%
Hertha BSC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80
GF 15 · GA 7 · avg 3.00/1.40