GGOALVIO

Germany · 3. Liga · 8/5/2023, 2:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dynamo Dresden · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Dynamo Dresden are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Arminia Bielefeld are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Dynamo Dresden hold a 9.4-point power-rating edge (57.4 v 47.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.6% in the 3. Liga, while Dynamo Dresden holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dynamo Dresden

Probability

47.6%

Model confidence

47.6%

Dynamo Dresden has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dynamo DresdenWDWWW

GF 17 · GA 2 · avg 3.40/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Arminia BielefeldWLWWL

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Dynamo DresdenArminia Bielefeld
50.9Attack42.1
64.9Defence58.8
54.4Form40.4
57.4Power47.9
1.42xG0.80
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