Dvůr Královévs
Ústí nad Orlicí
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · 4. liga - Divizie C · 9/13/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ústí nad Orlicí · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dvůr Králové 0-1 Ústí nad Orlicí
Original prediction
Ústí nad Orlicí
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.25 | 27.2% | 29.9% | 2.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.93 | 22.6% | 22.6% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 1.77 | 50.2% | 47.4% | -2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.77 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Ústí nad Orlicí
Probability
47.4%
Model confidence
47.4%
Ústí nad Orlicí has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 16 · GA 9 · avg 3.20/1.80