Durham Wvs
Southampton W
COMPLETEDEngland · Women's Championship · 9/6/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Southampton W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Durham W 1-3 Southampton W
Original prediction
Southampton W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.33 | 27.1% | 25.3% | -1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.39 | 26.6% | 26.8% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 1.95 | 46.3% | 47.9% | 1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.95 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–212%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Southampton W
Probability
47.9%
Model confidence
47.9%
Southampton W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00