Durham Wvs
Nottingham Forest W
COMPLETEDEngland · Women's Championship · 9/20/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nottingham Forest W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Durham W 1-2 Nottingham Forest W
Original prediction
Nottingham Forest W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.43 | 20.3% | 30.6% | 10.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.75 | 24.0% | 27.7% | 3.7 pts |
| Away | 1.62 | 55.6% | 41.7% | -14.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.62 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Nottingham Forest W
Probability
41.7%
Model confidence
41.7%
Nottingham Forest W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40