GGOALVIO

England · Women's Championship · 9/17/2023, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

London City Lionesses · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Durham W are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (LWD), averaging 1.33 scored and 3.33 conceded, while London City Lionesses are 1W-2D-0L in their last 3 (DWD), averaging 1.33 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and London City Lionesses hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (37.1 v 43.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.5% in the Women's Championship, while London City Lionesses holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

London City Lionesses

Probability

35.5%

Model confidence

35.5%

London City Lionesses has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Durham WLWD

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 1.33/3.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 1/3
London City LionessesDWD

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 1.33/1.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 1/3
Durham WLondon City Lionesses
36.4Attack39.4
33.3Defence45.5
34.8Form37.9
37.1Power43.1
1.26xG1.47
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