GGOALVIO

South-Africa · Premier Soccer League · 10/13/2026, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Durban City 0-0 Amazulu, with an exact score probability of 26%.

Prediction record

Final result

Durban City 1-2 Amazulu

Original prediction

Draw

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.4537.2%30.2%-7.0 pts
Draw3.0230.1%33.4%3.3 pts
Away2.7932.7%36.4%3.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

3.3 pts

Projected Score

Durban City 0–0 Amazulu

Exact score probability: 26%

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

33.4%

Model confidence

36.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Durban CityDLWWD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
AmazuluWWWLW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Durban CityAmazulu
19.0Attack47.6
76.2Defence66.7
33.3Form76.2
44.9Power66.1
0.60xG0.79
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