Duque de Caxiasvs
Serra Macaense
COMPLETEDBrazil · Carioca - 2 · 9/24/2023, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Duque de Caxias · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Duque de Caxias are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Serra Macaense are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Duque de Caxias hold a 38.5-point power-rating edge (70.8 v 32.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.3% in the Carioca - 2, while Duque de Caxias holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Duque de Caxias
Probability
74.3%
Model confidence
74.3%
Duque de Caxias has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 0.50/1.00