GGOALVIO

Brazil · Carioca - 2 · 9/9/2023, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Duque de Caxias · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Duque de Caxias are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (WLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.75 conceded, while Nova Cidade have no completed matches on record, with no goal data yet. Both teams scored in 0 of those 4 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and Duque de Caxias hold a 26.2-point power-rating edge (70.8 v 44.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.9% in the Carioca - 2, while Duque de Caxias holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Duque de Caxias

Probability

58.9%

Model confidence

58.9%

Duque de Caxias has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Duque de CaxiasWLLW

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.75

BTTS 0/4O2.5 0/4
Nova CidadeNo completed matches

GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00

BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
Duque de CaxiasNova Cidade
51.1Attack33.3
80.0Defence60.6
77.8Form36.4
70.8Power44.5
1.41xG0.39
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