Dunkerquevs
Montpellier
SCHEDULEDFrance · Ligue 2 · 8/21/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Montpellier · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Dunkerque are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Montpellier are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Montpellier hold a 9.8-point power-rating edge (44.8 v 54.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 20.8% in the Ligue 2, while Montpellier holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Montpellier
Probability
44.0%
Model confidence
20.8%
Montpellier has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00