GGOALVIO

France · Ligue 2 · 8/21/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Montpellier · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Dunkerque are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Montpellier are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Montpellier hold a 9.8-point power-rating edge (44.8 v 54.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 20.8% in the Ligue 2, while Montpellier holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Montpellier

Probability

44.0%

Model confidence

20.8%

Montpellier has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DunkerqueWLLWL

GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MontpellierDDLWW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
DunkerqueMontpellier
31.6Attack40.2
54.4Defence69.6
40.4Form50.0
44.8Power54.6
0.60xG1.03
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