GGOALVIO

France · Ligue 2 · 8/5/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Dunkerque are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Estac Troyes are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (LDLW), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 44.8 against 45.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the Ligue 2, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.5%

Model confidence

39.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DunkerqueDLLWD

GF 13 · GA 12 · avg 2.60/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Estac TroyesLDLW

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.50/1.00

BTTS 0/4O2.5 1/4
DunkerqueEstac Troyes
31.6Attack37.7
54.4Defence56.1
40.4Form36.8
44.8Power45.5
0.89xG0.94
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