Dunkerquevs
Clermont Foot
COMPLETEDFrance · Ligue 2 · 9/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dunkerque · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dunkerque 1-1 Clermont Foot
Original prediction
Dunkerque
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.76 | 53.0% | 43.7% | -9.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 25.6% | 27.3% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 4.35 | 21.4% | 29.1% | 7.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.63 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Dunkerque
Probability
43.7%
Model confidence
43.7%
Dunkerque has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00