Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dunkerque · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dunkerque 0-1 Annecy
Original prediction
Dunkerque
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 09:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.22 | 41.9% | 36.6% | -5.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 27.3% | 29.3% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 3.02 | 30.8% | 34.1% | 3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–09%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Dunkerque
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
36.6%
Dunkerque has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DunkerqueLLWDL
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AnnecyWLLWD
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
DunkerqueAnnecy
47.6Attack42.9
42.9Defence57.1
38.1Form47.6
45.1Power51.4
1.30xG1.32