Dunipacevs
Largs Thistle
COMPLETEDScotland · FA Cup · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dunipace · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dunipace 1-5 Largs Thistle
Original prediction
Dunipace
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 October 2026 at 12:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.75 | 32.6% | 38.7% | 6.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.00 | 22.4% | 25.2% | 2.8 pts |
| Away | 2.00 | 44.9% | 36.0% | -8.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Dunipace
Probability
38.7%
Model confidence
38.7%
Dunipace has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DunipaceLWLWL
GF 8 · GA 15 · avg 1.60/3.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Largs ThistleLWDWW
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
DunipaceLargs Thistle
100.0Attack33.3
33.3Defence100.0
100.0Form100.0
80.3Power80.3
1.96xG1.61