GGOALVIO

Northern-Ireland · Premiership · 8/19/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dungannon Swifts · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Dungannon Swifts are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Loughgall are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Dungannon Swifts hold a 2.7-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 45.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.2% in the Premiership, while Dungannon Swifts holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dungannon Swifts

Probability

43.2%

Model confidence

43.2%

Dungannon Swifts has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dungannon SwiftsLLDWL

GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
LoughgallLLWWD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Dungannon SwiftsLoughgall
33.3Attack52.6
50.0Defence40.4
50.0Form39.5
47.8Power45.1
1.76xG1.39
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