Dungannon Swiftsvs
Linfield
COMPLETEDNorthern-Ireland · Premiership · 9/12/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dungannon Swifts · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dungannon Swifts 0-1 Linfield
Original prediction
Dungannon Swifts
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.57 | 25.4% | 38.5% | 13.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.49 | 26.0% | 27.7% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 1.87 | 48.6% | 33.8% | -14.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Dungannon Swifts
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Dungannon Swifts has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80