GGOALVIO

Northern-Ireland · Premiership · 8/12/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dungannon Swifts · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Dungannon Swifts are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Linfield are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Dungannon Swifts hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 42.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.6% in the Premiership, while Dungannon Swifts holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dungannon Swifts

Probability

41.6%

Model confidence

41.6%

Dungannon Swifts has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dungannon SwiftsDWLWW

GF 15 · GA 8 · avg 3.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
LinfieldLLLLW

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Dungannon SwiftsLinfield
33.3Attack33.3
50.0Defence33.3
50.0Form50.0
47.8Power42.7
1.53xG1.19
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