Dungannon Swiftsvs
Cliftonville FC
COMPLETEDNorthern-Ireland · Premiership · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dungannon Swifts · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Dungannon Swifts 0-0 Cliftonville FC, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Dungannon Swifts 1-3 Cliftonville FC
Original prediction
Dungannon Swifts
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 08:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.00 | 45.3% | 38.0% | -7.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.55 | 25.5% | 30.1% | 4.6 pts |
| Away | 3.10 | 29.2% | 31.9% | 2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.3 pts
Projected Score
Dungannon Swifts 0–0 Cliftonville FC
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Dungannon Swifts
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
38.0%
Dungannon Swifts has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00