Dungannon Swiftsvs
Ballymena United
COMPLETEDNorthern-Ireland · Premiership · 9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dungannon Swifts · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dungannon Swifts 1-1 Ballymena United
Original prediction
Dungannon Swifts
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.06 | 43.9% | 46.1% | 2.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 26.9% | 26.3% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 3.10 | 29.1% | 27.6% | -1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.35 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Dungannon Swifts
Probability
46.1%
Model confidence
46.1%
Dungannon Swifts has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00