Dunfermlinevs
Raith Rovers
COMPLETEDScotland · Championship · 8/26/2023, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Dunfermline are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Raith Rovers are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Raith Rovers hold a 16.5-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.5% in the Championship, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.5%
Model confidence
36.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00