Dunfermlinevs
Livingston
COMPLETEDScotland · Championship · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Dunfermline 0-0 Livingston, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Dunfermline 0-0 Livingston
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 12:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.57 | 35.7% | 35.1% | -0.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 27.3% | 31.7% | 4.4 pts |
| Away | 2.48 | 37.0% | 33.3% | -3.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.36 · Draw 2.36 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.4 pts
Projected Score
Dunfermline 0–0 Livingston
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.7%
Model confidence
35.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DunfermlineDLWWD
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
LivingstonLLWDW
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
DunfermlineLivingston
29.2Attack46.7
79.2Defence63.3
54.2Form43.3
56.6Power51.5
0.78xG0.73