League CupLeague Cup
Tuesday, 21 July 2026Last updated 15:00
Dunfermline

Dunfermline

Home
L
50
Full time
Cove Rangers

Cove Rangers

Away
L
East End Park
GoalVio prediction
68% confidence
Dunfermline(68%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Dunfermline
68%
Draw
19%
Cove Rangers
13%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Dunfermline
9
Cove Rangers
34
Defence
Dunfermline
6
Cove Rangers
1
Momentum
Dunfermline
0
Cove Rangers
0
Danger (xG)
Dunfermline
0.00
Cove Rangers
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Dunfermline)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Cove Rangers)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Dunfermline)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Cove Rangers)
3.60
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
DunfermlineDunfermline
LLLD
Cove RangersCove Rangers
WL

Probability breakdown

68% confidence
Dunfermline68%
Draw19%
Cove Rangers13%

Dunfermline leads with 68% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Dunfermline head into this in League Cup fixture at East End Park in mixed form (L), while Cove Rangers arrive in mixed form (L). Dunfermline have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Cove Rangers over 1 games.

The model rates Dunfermline's attack at 9/100 against a 1/100 Cove Rangers defence, and Cove Rangers's attack at 34/100 against a 6/100 Dunfermline backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Dunfermline have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per home match. Cove Rangers have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between Dunfermline and Cove Rangers in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Dunfermline to win with 68% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Dunfermline 6846%, Draw 1900%, Cove Rangers 1254%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Dunfermline

Dunfermline

L
@ East Kilbride
11 Jul 2026
03
L
@ FC Botosani
25 Jun 2026
01
L
@ Partick
15 May 2026
12
D
vs Partick
12 May 2026
11
Cove Rangers

Cove Rangers

W
vs East Kilbride
14 Jul 2026
32
L
vs Inverness CT
7 Jul 2026
14

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Dunfermline vs Cove Rangers?

GoalVio's model predicts Dunfermline to win with 68% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Dunfermline vs Cove Rangers?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Dunfermline vs Cove Rangers?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Dunfermline vs Cove Rangers?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more