Dunfermlinevs
Airdrie United
COMPLETEDScotland · Championship · 8/5/2023, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Dunfermline are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Airdrie United are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Airdrie United hold a 2.7-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 51.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.9% in the Championship, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40