GGOALVIO

Scotland · Championship · 8/5/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Dunfermline are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Airdrie United are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Airdrie United hold a 2.7-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 51.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.9% in the Championship, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.9%

Model confidence

37.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DunfermlineWLWDW

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Airdrie UnitedWWWWW

GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
DunfermlineAirdrie United
16.7Attack40.7
83.3Defence59.3
33.3Form48.1
48.3Power51.0
1.04xG0.92
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