GGOALVIO

New-Zealand · Chatham Cup · 7/4/2026, 3:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cashmere Technical · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Lowconfidence

Dunedin City Royals are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Cashmere Technical are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Cashmere Technical hold an 80.8-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 87.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.7% in the Chatham Cup, while Cashmere Technical holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cashmere Technical

Probability

58.0%

Model confidence

7.7%

Cashmere Technical has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dunedin City RoyalsLWWLW

GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Cashmere TechnicalWWLWW

GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Dunedin City RoyalsCashmere Technical
0.0Attack100.0
0.0Defence83.3
0.0Form100.0
7.0Power87.8
1.75xG2.87
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