Dundelavs
Strabane Athletic
COMPLETEDNorthern-Ireland · Championship · 9/18/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dundela · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dundela 1-1 Strabane Athletic
Original prediction
Dundela
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.69 | 53.1% | 54.4% | 1.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25.0% | 22.2% | -2.8 pts |
| Away | 4.10 | 21.9% | 23.4% | 1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.60 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.1–16%
Predicted outcome
Dundela
Probability
54.4%
Model confidence
54.4%
Dundela has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60