Dundelavs
Glenavon FC
COMPLETEDNorthern-Ireland · Championship · 9/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Glenavon FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dundela 3-2 Glenavon FC
Original prediction
Glenavon FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.78 | 19.1% | 26.7% | 7.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.95 | 23.1% | 25.0% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 1.57 | 57.9% | 48.2% | -9.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
Glenavon FC
Probability
48.2%
Model confidence
48.2%
Glenavon FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20