GGOALVIO

Northern-Ireland · Championship · 8/12/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dundela · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Dundela are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Ballyclare Comrades are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Dundela hold a 2.2-point power-rating edge (57.4 v 55.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.1% in the Championship, while Dundela holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dundela

Probability

44.1%

Model confidence

44.1%

Dundela has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DundelaLLDWL

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Ballyclare ComradesWLDDL

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
DundelaBallyclare Comrades
64.9Attack64.0
47.4Defence47.4
58.8Form53.5
57.4Power55.2
2.24xG1.85
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