Dundeevs
ST Johnstone
COMPLETEDScotland · Premiership · 9/2/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dundee · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dundee 1-1 ST Johnstone
Original prediction
Dundee
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.76 | 34.0% | 42.8% | 8.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 27.5% | 26.8% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.44 | 38.5% | 30.4% | -8.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.41 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Dundee
Probability
42.8%
Model confidence
42.8%
Dundee has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DundeeLWLWL
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
ST JohnstoneLLWDL
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
DundeeST Johnstone
41.7Attack55.6
75.0Defence33.3
50.0Form33.3
56.2Power43.7
1.64xG1.05