Dundeevs
Motherwell
COMPLETEDScotland · Premiership · 9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dundee · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dundee 2-1 Motherwell
Original prediction
Dundee
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.06 | 30.6% | 40.5% | 10.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 27.7% | 27.3% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.24 | 41.8% | 32.2% | -9.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.06 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Dundee
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
Dundee has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DundeeLDLWL
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MotherwellLLWDL
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
DundeeMotherwell
38.9Attack44.4
66.7Defence50.0
38.9Form44.4
49.3Power47.2
1.34xG0.98