Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dundee · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dundee 1-2 Hibernian
Original prediction
Dundee
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.99 | 31.4% | 40.1% | 8.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 27.8% | 27.7% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.30 | 40.8% | 32.2% | -8.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Dundee
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Dundee has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DundeeWLWLW
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
HibernianLDWDW
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
DundeeHibernian
44.4Attack50.0
88.9Defence50.0
66.7Form50.0
67.2Power53.0
1.52xG1.05