GGOALVIO

Scotland · Premiership · 8/27/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Heart Of Midlothian · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Dundee are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Heart Of Midlothian are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Heart Of Midlothian hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (56.2 v 62.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.3% in the Premiership, while Heart Of Midlothian holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Heart Of Midlothian

Probability

34.3%

Model confidence

34.3%

Heart Of Midlothian has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DundeeLDWWL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Heart Of MidlothianLWWDL

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
DundeeHeart Of Midlothian
33.3Attack83.3
83.3Defence66.7
50.0Form50.0
56.2Power62.5
1.29xG1.31
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