GGOALVIO

Scotland · League Cup · 7/18/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dundee Utd · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Dundee Utd are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (LWW), averaging 1.67 scored and 1.33 conceded, while Partick are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 75.7 against 75.2. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.1% in the League Cup, while Dundee Utd holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dundee Utd

Probability

36.1%

Model confidence

36.1%

Dundee Utd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dundee UtdLWW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.67/1.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
PartickDW

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 1.50/1.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 1/2
Dundee UtdPartick
66.7Attack100.0
91.7Defence75.0
75.0Form66.7
75.7Power75.2
1.57xG1.48
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